Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Somerset vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1aa62598861c27e39b4acacbcec657a47a6090363939fa7090f411e6779ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durhamof Somerset, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Somerset | 36c | 1,208$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Durham | 57c | 861.33$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.62 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Somerset | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Durham | 65c | 512.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Durham | 64c | 232.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Durham | 75c | 219.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Somerset | 29c | 197.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Durham | 75c | 178.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Durham | 64c | 141$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Somerset | 28c | 130.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Somerset | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Durham | 78c | 110.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Durham | 73c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Somerset | 31c | 89.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Durham | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Somerset | 28c | 84.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Durham | 68c | 66.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Durham | 65c | 66.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Somerset | 30c | 60.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Somerset | 21c | 60.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Somerset | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Somerset | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Durham | 64c | 44.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Durham | 75c | 43.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Somerset | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Durham | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Durham | 66c | 25.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Durham | 80c | 23.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Durham | 59c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Durham | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.