Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Benjamin O'connell vs Blake Ellis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f96ce575b2b3d5880b6155cb662b25c717a4fbdf8d42395e8c4c0248d976ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin O'connellof Benjamin O'connell, Blake Ellis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f3f…1086backed Blake Ellis | 71c | 3,395$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Benjamin O'connell | 70c | 1,429$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.17 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Benjamin O'connell | 24c | 876$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.17 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Benjamin O'connell | 61c | 712.04$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benjamin O'connell | 23c | 691.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Benjamin O'connell | 62c | 629.66$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Blake Ellis | 54c | 571.22$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.46 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Benjamin O'connell | 17c | 441.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Benjamin O'connell | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Benjamin O'connell | 17c | 343$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.69 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 299.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Benjamin O'connell | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benjamin O'connell | 17c | 241$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Benjamin O'connell | 23c | 232.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Blake Ellis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Benjamin O'connell | 71c | 152$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Blake Ellis | 78c | 145.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Benjamin O'connell | 76c | 132.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Blake Ellis | 80c | 125.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Benjamin O'connell | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Blake Ellis | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Benjamin O'connell | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Benjamin O'connell | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Blake Ellis | 30c | 108.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Benjamin O'connell | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Benjamin O'connell | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Benjamin O'connell | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Benjamin O'connell | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Blake Ellis | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Blake Ellis | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Blake Ellis | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Benjamin O'connell | 58c | 61.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Blake Ellis | 58c | 45.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 43.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Blake Ellis | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…f842backed Blake Ellis | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Blake Ellis | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Blake Ellis | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.