Euroleague · resolved market
Unicaja vs. CB Breogan Lugo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fbd0a50e0a318c2958fa1e52fd98cf7a32f98ca2e186d55d81c4902b844a676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Unicajaof Unicaja, CB Breogan Lugo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 21c | 2,237$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.77 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 27c | 1,853$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Unicaja | 73c | 1,561$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed CB Breogan Lugo | 13c | 1,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CB Breogan Lugo | 11c | 876.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Unicaja | 74c | 353$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed CB Breogan Lugo | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed CB Breogan Lugo | 19c | 213.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed CB Breogan Lugo | 17c | 176.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Unicaja | 75c | 133.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CB Breogan Lugo | 26c | 115.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 108.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Unicaja | 76c | 106.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Unicaja | 79c | 72.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Unicaja | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Unicaja | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Unicaja | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Unicaja | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Unicaja | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Unicaja | 74c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Unicaja | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.