Tennis · resolved market
ITF Santa Fe: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Mckenna Schaefbauer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff1c6c2d6701924432718c403e1abd6c77ed82e7a5f943c6a2d9969ffba661c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mckenna Schaefbauerof Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, Mckenna Schaefbauer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 80c | 8,287$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.54 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 27c | 3,763$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.91 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 21c | 2,910$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 73c | 679.45$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 30c | 547.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.26 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 28c | 380$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.06 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 6c | 372.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 73c | 274.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 27c | 196.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 30c | 165.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 164.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 154$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 26c | 149.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 19c | 136.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 124.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 27c | 122.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 75c | 114.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 76c | 113.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 27c | 112$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 98.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 98.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 28c | 97.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 81.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 81.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 31c | 62.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 27c | 58.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 45.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Mckenna Schaefbauer | 58c | 37.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 28c | 37.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 79c | 35.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Mckenna Schaefbauer | 31c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 57c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 74c | 24.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 69c | 14.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.