Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: OX (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01c5a880cfbbbe241f5084db4bc2254013f3565672715820dfe93d2f12c71ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OXENof OXEN, KRÜ Blaze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed OXEN | 69c | 3,630$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 1,359$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.27 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 1,176$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed OXEN | 70c | 891.74$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 808.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed OXEN | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked OXEN | 71c | 761.53$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed OXEN | 71c | 677.75$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked KRÜ Blaze | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 395.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed KRÜ Blaze | 29c | 322.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 304.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 293.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked OXEN | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 229.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 200.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…4589backed KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked KRÜ Blaze | 29c | 193.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Blaze | 29c | 172.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 154$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 100.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed OXEN | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 97.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 96.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 85.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed OXEN | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed OXEN | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked KRÜ Blaze | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed OXEN | 71c | 28.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed OXEN | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OX (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonOXEN won
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 WinnerOXEN won
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 2 WinnerOXEN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.