Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05921ab5c2bbb3e9672d7d7e25d81f1dbc1c6841e56d0950f26c8fb6bbdc612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Inter Turkuof FC Vaduz, FC Inter Turku
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Inter Turku | 56c | 1,242$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.33 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Vaduz | 44c | 961.08$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.09 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed FC Inter Turku | 57c | 565.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.88 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Vaduz | 44c | 391.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Vaduz | 44c | 322.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Vaduz | 43c | 193$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked FC Vaduz | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FC Vaduz | 44c | 38.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…468dbacked FC Inter Turku | 56c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed FC Inter Turku | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FC Vaduz | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: Team to Advancethis page
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.