Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05e58af8c542e2e55ec99d43043da683b278bd30fa59d10541f4c58b1f3dd2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Wright State Raiders, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 481.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 35c | 344.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Wright State Raiders | 39c | 328.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 252$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Wright State Raiders | 39c | 200.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wright State Raiders | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 164.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Wright State Raiders | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Wright State Raiders | 58c | 105.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 70.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wright State Raiders | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wright State Raiders | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Wright State Raiders | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…24e0backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed Youngstown State Penguins | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wright State Raiders | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…81f2backed Wright State Raiders | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…8f17backed Youngstown State Penguins | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…ea3cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-4.5)Wright State Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.