Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Alexandra Malova vs Maria Kalyakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a4a58e151d9308655fddd05a875693afe043b09052977715066766f4f3bf68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Kalyakinaof Alexandra Malova, Maria Kalyakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexandra Malova | 50c | 13,586$6,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,778.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Maria Kalyakina | 47c | 10,439$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.95 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Kalyakina | 56c | 5,529$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandra Malova | 51c | 929.84$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Alexandra Malova | 41c | 507.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Alexandra Malova | 41c | 453.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 423.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Maria Kalyakina | 49c | 394.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Alexandra Malova | 41c | 380$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Alexandra Malova | 35c | 299.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alexandra Malova | 43c | 283.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexandra Malova | 42c | 262.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Alexandra Malova | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Alexandra Malova | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Maria Kalyakina | 46c | 132.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alexandra Malova | 32c | 110.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Maria Kalyakina | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alexandra Malova | 47c | 59.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexandra Malova | 19c | 58.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Alexandra Malova | 53c | 45.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Alexandra Malova | 44c | 35.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alexandra Malova | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Alexandra Malova | 56c | 24.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alexandra Malova | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Alexandra Malova | 54c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Maria Kalyakina | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Alexandra Malova | 66c | 16.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.