CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b7c30c5186fff95a37f2cbb02137175706e4109c41d9337a7162552e86ded5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Procyon Gamingof Procyon Gaming, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guara Esports | 25c | 3,109$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.59 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Procyon Gaming | 71c | 980.84$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Procyon Gaming | 74c | 727$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Procyon Gaming | 72c | 489$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Procyon Gaming | 77c | 281$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Procyon Gaming | 77c | 259.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 23c | 250.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Guara Esports | 17c | 227$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Guara Esports | 16c | 195$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Guara Esports | 23c | 187.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Procyon Gaming | 75c | 184.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Procyon Gaming | 74c | 166.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Guara Esports | 35c | 150.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Procyon Gaming | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Procyon Gaming | 62c | 132$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports | 26c | 124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Guara Esports | 36c | 117.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Procyon Gaming | 69c | 58.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Procyon Gaming | 69c | 48.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Procyon Gaming | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Procyon Gaming | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Procyon Gaming | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Procyon Gaming | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Procyon Gaming | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Procyon Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Procyon Gaming | 64c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageProcyon Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.