CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026509d5292f309b5a0846996fc4dc0dcb30738cd0ccfbafd3a9a8aef3d070d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Procyon Gamingof Procyon Gaming, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Procyon Gaming | 61c | 3,325$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.74 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guara Esports | 36c | 1,441$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Procyon Gaming | 60c | 1,213$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 36c | 1,035$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Procyon Gaming | 69c | 1,032$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guara Esports | 40c | 916.26$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports | 43c | 497.35$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Guara Esports | 43c | 417.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports | 28c | 410$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Procyon Gaming | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Guara Esports | 48c | 344.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Guara Esports | 16c | 301$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Guara Esports | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Procyon Gaming | 54c | 252.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guara Esports | 53c | 227.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Procyon Gaming | 60c | 208$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Guara Esports | 57c | 175.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6ef5backed Guara Esports | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Guara Esports | 19c | 140.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Guara Esports | 39c | 137.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports | 39c | 135.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Guara Esports | 34c | 128.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Guara Esports | 28c | 125.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Guara Esports | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guara Esports | 40c | 100.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Guara Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Procyon Gaming | 43c | 93.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Procyon Gaming | 56c | 88.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Guara Esports | 54c | 86.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guara Esports | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed Guara Esports | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Procyon Gaming | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Procyon Gaming | 69c | 63.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Guara Esports | 31c | 63.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Guara Esports | 37c | 62.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Procyon Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 24c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Guara Esports | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Guara Esports | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Procyon Gaming | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 55c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageProcyon Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.