Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bca033c9feafc3118893e768d0add61750fb2c6ad0b849d27d76a69c524019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 73c | 411.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 39c | 395.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 240.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 60c | 218.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 60c | 52.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 61c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 60c | 25.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.