TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Riyadh Saudi Clubof Al Ettifaq Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,911 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4844…32c9backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club26c964.24$250 inLost-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club72c697.21$502 inWon+$195.041,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club74c211.11$156 inWon+$54.731,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club44c100$44 inLost-$442661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club74c95$70 inWon+$25.071,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club25c71.23$18 inLost-$181421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club45c68$31 inLost-$30.831,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club55c52.31$29 inWon+$23.7239655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club74c48$36 inWon+$12.485,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club25c41$10 inLost-$10.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club72c37.78$27 inWon+$10.5818446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club74c37$27 inWon+$9.5320056.5%113 W · 87 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club46c32$15 inWon+$17.381,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club54c30$16 inLost-$16.156043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club74c28.42$21 inWon+$7.3947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club53c25$13 inWon+$11.7572044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc36f…e5fdbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club76c24$18 inWon+$5.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd978…c469backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club58c20$12 inWon+$8.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club75c20$15 inWon+$56162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4754…c1fdbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club66c16$11 inLost-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.