TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c8,290$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.872,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under48c5,354$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55518257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.991090%9 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick74cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,809$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.385,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under33c2,564$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under27c2,227$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.269268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over24c1,640$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.745745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over43c1,332$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.791,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over18c1,005$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.561,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over18c978.62$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.61,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c718.06$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.271,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under65c618.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over18c488.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3419856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…c5afbacked Under29c428.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under33c400$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7621449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Under35c325.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over21c318.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1214557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over21c295.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4319055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over18c277.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7332560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over18c277.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7310653.8%57 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over18c258$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5610160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over19c252.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0139058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over21c251.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8722656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over18c246.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1214058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over19c234.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8616356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over45c229.42$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.311225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over18c229.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1940156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over52c227.33$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.175271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over18c226.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over38c224.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.247149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.226467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over20c214.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55567.3%37 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over23c207.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.983574.3%26 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+60.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9919753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c197.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.131,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under37c196.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c190$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.412074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over15c187$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9523546.8%110 W · 125 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over15c186.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.193831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over18c166.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2834558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over33c151.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8169352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e1…f770backed Under60c150.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over15c149$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6523347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x109b…cc8cbacked Over65c137.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Over60c123.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c111.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5917340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over18c100.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.239458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c93.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.011,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…7f47backed Over18c90.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.29450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over23c85.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.862766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over52c82.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.731250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over59c82.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4742625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over68c79.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.915068%102 W · 48 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Over33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over19c68.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4211243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under63c55.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under63c55.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under63c55.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.815358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under63c47.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.935464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c46.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5411654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa16…a21abacked Over33c45.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over34c45.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.747155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under57c43.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.074459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Over51c40.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3f3…b728backed Over50c37.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…e058backed Over38c36.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under31c36.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.354259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.527466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over54c32.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.965664.3%36 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8314149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Under58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2227…9551backed Under62c25.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c23.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5139561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under63c18.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.849056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over76c15.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.