Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37c244bae0a94b5e4bbe16a552a3ba0ec4f2d016161985c08fe9cb9e53e9676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 42c | 1,725$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,617$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 14c | 1,578$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 981.55$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 38c | 836.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.65 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 592.01$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 16c | 251.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 27c | 229.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 215.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 56c | 194.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 192.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 65c | 179.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 176.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 168.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 83.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 73.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 44c | 72.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 72.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 44c | 69.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 43.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 37.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 54c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 23.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Over | 59c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.