Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c33a87dc53339fe8629ecfc40bdc10f6fb8e3c4553a15f99dccd1a398bcf20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indonesia | 14c | 1,604$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Indonesia | 30c | 1,224$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.62 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sweden | 69c | 1,028$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…54b1backed Sweden | 74c | 376.92$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sweden | 78c | 277.91$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 48c | 260.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Indonesia | 15c | 250.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweden | 51c | 227.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Indonesia | 32c | 199.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Indonesia | 21c | 197.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Indonesia | 9c | 194.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sweden | 75c | 190.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Sweden | 62c | 178.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Indonesia | 26c | 176.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Indonesia | 19c | 166.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indonesia | 20c | 142.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Indonesia | 7c | 136.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Indonesia | 50c | 135.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…4d73backed Sweden | 73c | 134.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 33c | 120.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Sweden | 68c | 111.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Indonesia | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sweden | 71c | 98.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sweden | 73c | 94.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Sweden | 57c | 92.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Sweden | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Sweden | 79c | 79.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Indonesia | 24c | 76.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Indonesia | 24c | 67.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Sweden | 70c | 63.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Indonesia | 28c | 56.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb3…ceeabacked Sweden | 67c | 45.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Indonesia | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Indonesia | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…8e06backed Sweden | 73c | 32.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Sweden | 68c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Sweden | 66c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…b584backed Sweden | 66c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sweden | 76c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.