Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-26.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1130c5796f3ec85276f7a69fc39b21e47caafdbf64b6ef8ba2d2b948794c18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston College Eaglesof Duke Blue Devils, Boston College Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 4,802$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.82 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Boston College Eagles | 49c | 3,985$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.57 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston College Eagles | 48c | 1,736$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Boston College Eagles | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 110.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Boston College Eagles | 38c | 83.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 62c | 72.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Boston College Eagles | 50c | 49.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Boston College Eagles | 52c | 44.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Boston College Eagles | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Boston College Eagles | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-26.5)this page
- Boston College Eagles vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.