Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11fb7ebaddf9cca28e25a7d28f5517a6ac2cd3d920fb2a560d540de37ce70f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Solary | 68c | 1,467$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.51 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed UCAM Esports Club | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed UCAM Esports Club | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked UCAM Esports Club | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked UCAM Esports Club | 31c | 414.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UCAM Esports Club | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Solary | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed UCAM Esports Club | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Solary | 71c | 249.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Solary | 71c | 169.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed UCAM Esports Club | 34c | 166.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Solary | 78c | 161.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed UCAM Esports Club | 35c | 105.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Solary | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…2cf6backed Solary | 69c | 70.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed UCAM Esports Club | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Solary | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Solary | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Solary | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Solary | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.