Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5a4baac7366d1e32ba3a244c8dc19925a9e56d1f812c0058cd12ad1062e5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 50c | 1,970$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.7 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,810$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 1,121$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 4c | 938.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 664.81$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 52c | 500.32$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.15 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 48c | 438.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.62 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 50c | 379$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 15c | 253.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5db6backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 231.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 47c | 104.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 100.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 53c | 98.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 96.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 82.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…315cbacked Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 50c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 52c | 39.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 54c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 62c | 32.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 54c | 28.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 65c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…b868backed Under | 53c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5a…01fabacked Under | 54c | 22.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.