Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa13443769ff56f85a01152bf35f1b08834ac8ca7b0ed6cb7b54da9023cb9bc84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 5,647$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.52 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 50c | 4,032$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.7 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 2,218$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,128$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.89 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 58c | 1,451$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.38 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 655.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 41c | 535.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.87 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 529$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 57c | 493.31$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 55c | 360.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 329.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 311.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 41c | 272.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 211.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 55c | 211.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 194.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 55c | 189.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 53c | 179.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 58c | 173.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 170.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 57c | 141.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 60c | 133.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 50c | 114.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 54c | 109.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes | 61c | 82.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked No | 48c | 60.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…0f46backed Yes | 55c | 56.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 50c | 48.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Yes | 66c | 42.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 44c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 55c | 26.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Yes | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Draw at halftime?No won
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.