Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19fcec9c58b7050964467bf1145bc1e8c45eeaf4f1e32d4f5a3b6f1438f40df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jennifer Ruggeriof Jennifer Ruggeri, Kayla Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 33c | 1,133$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.9 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 31c | 583.46$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 72c | 528.26$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kayla Day | 69c | 375.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 57c | 359.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Kayla Day | 29c | 287$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kayla Day | 16c | 274$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 184.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kayla Day | 74c | 159.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kayla Day | 11c | 154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kayla Day | 11c | 154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 35c | 152$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kayla Day | 65c | 135.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kayla Day | 50c | 120.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Kayla Day | 18c | 100.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 61c | 99.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Kayla Day | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Kayla Day | 74c | 95.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 78c | 94.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kayla Day | 67c | 75.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Kayla Day | 76c | 65.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kayla Day | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…7e04backed Kayla Day | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kayla Day | 63c | 58.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 19c | 52.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Kayla Day | 53c | 51.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kayla Day | 73c | 49.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Kayla Day | 31c | 43.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 64c | 40.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kayla Day | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kayla Day | 51c | 34.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayla Day | 71c | 32.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kayla Day | 46c | 30.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kayla Day | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 37c | 28.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Kayla Day | 76c | 26.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Kayla Day | 73c | 25.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kayla Day | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Kayla Day | 80c | 18.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.