Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa22583d3b970acb51d4ba70b5df9c856f861e755ee57c4178caf34a779ff19f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosof Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,643 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 70c | 2,477$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 31c | 1,774$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 23c | 240.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…67efbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 53c | 143.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 65c | 134.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 44c | 55.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 55c | 35.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 49c | 26.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 45c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.