Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29361bddce168dacddc0241986932e95c5a43bd0c7850064c90549575a3acb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 6,249$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.84 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 5,287$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 4,984$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 3,936$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.61 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,368$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 2,072$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.89 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,069$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,284$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 19c | 1,219$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 17c | 1,113$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 674$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 23c | 488.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 19c | 470.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 19c | 470.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 19c | 295.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Yes | 10c | 268.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 247.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 6c | 195.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 18c | 108.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 18c | 103.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…15e6backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 19c | 76.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 74c | 71.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 79c | 63.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 19c | 54.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…2a5ebacked Yes | 26c | 52.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed No | 77c | 27.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 76c | 21.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.