Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matteo Martineau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a0c129bc993136ddefb9d30fc3649cdd4becda6ba90f7e0b38c21763d32378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Martineauof Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine, Matteo Martineau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 22c | 2,885$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Matteo Martineau | 73c | 1,179$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matteo Martineau | 79c | 1,154$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Matteo Martineau | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 19c | 671.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 12c | 535.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 29c | 525$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 21c | 470.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 21c | 267.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Matteo Martineau | 79c | 249.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Matteo Martineau | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 14c | 88.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 28c | 72.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 28c | 68.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 24c | 66.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 18c | 64.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…2c89backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 25c | 60.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau | 73c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Martineau | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Matteo Martineau | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Matteo Martineau | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matteo Martineau | 71c | 14.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matteo Martineauthis page
- Set Handicap: Martineau (-1.5) vs Kouzmine (+1.5)Martineau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.