Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open, Qualification: Marco Cecchinato vs Duje Ajdukovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2f039d3cfe426aaff599d6eb664b0d3a75fd87b4d381152f3cdbc05a5bfd720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Duje Ajdukovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 25c | 2,499$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.51 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Duje Ajdukovic | 42c | 2,270$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 67c | 1,623$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marco Cecchinato | 57c | 1,495$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 1,093$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marco Cecchinato | 60c | 1,001$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 43c | 804.57$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marco Cecchinato | 57c | 407.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.33 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marco Cecchinato | 70c | 342.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 14c | 292.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marco Cecchinato | 69c | 158.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Duje Ajdukovic | 36c | 146.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Duje Ajdukovic | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 28c | 140.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Marco Cecchinato | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 135.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Marco Cecchinato | 73c | 118.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Duje Ajdukovic | 26c | 116.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 62c | 113.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…5da3backed Duje Ajdukovic | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Duje Ajdukovic | 30c | 67.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Marco Cecchinato | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Duje Ajdukovic | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Marco Cecchinato | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Duje Ajdukovic | 45c | 48.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Duje Ajdukovic | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 30.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Marco Cecchinato | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.