South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2f7b96059a2c42542c13f951cd39ad15cb86f310fd1f2147a2399ea0e1e0730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 2,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 78c | 1,848$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 68c | 349.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 157.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 74c | 154.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 39c | 107.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 47.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 36c | 41.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 62c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 29.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 72c | 22.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.