South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4179f8be1d41f4655604b7f2f56e32bed9014777ca57b049b5dcf2107c2720e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Over | 54c | 4,849$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.18 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 4,639$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 3,004$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,583$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 49c | 2,000$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 52c | 1,399$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.74 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 34c | 1,393$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.01 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 21c | 1,249$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.49 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,241$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.14 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 793.27$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 724.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 446.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 366.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 189.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 113.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 50c | 68.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 53c | 57.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Over | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Over | 53c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 80c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 72c | 33.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over | 43c | 32.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…e920backed Under | 72c | 20.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.