Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa316c0ef8ef43066dae447ba9df0e1b5d46b439ebefe997a37da6f8e4ef43991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 29c | 3,729$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.77 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 74c | 1,400$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.06 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 74c | 1,357$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.74 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 76c | 1,020$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 72c | 956.06$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 70c | 885.21$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 24c | 820$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 450.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 29c | 441$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 70c | 425.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 71c | 382$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 30c | 332.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Under | 80c | 251.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 196.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 162.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Over | 26c | 147.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked Over | 23c | 66.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…2f38backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…05d3backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…dde2backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.