Tennis · resolved market
ITF Chacabuco: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Lorena Schaedel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3598134c5b55efa0a9f36d00c70a3baef46394c4db426437c0b33756947ba43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorena Schaedelof Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi, Lorena Schaedel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 10c | 2,729$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorena Schaedel | 80c | 2,613$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorena Schaedel | 48c | 631.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Lorena Schaedel | 46c | 550.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 20c | 423.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 59c | 384.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 21c | 332.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 44c | 328.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 29c | 317.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 55c | 316.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 55c | 315.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorena Schaedel | 74c | 257.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Lorena Schaedel | 52c | 245.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 19c | 245.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 15c | 166.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Lorena Schaedel | 47c | 161.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Lorena Schaedel | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lorena Schaedel | 42c | 118.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 45c | 102.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 52c | 96.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…18a2backed Lorena Schaedel | 64c | 88.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 32c | 77.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorena Schaedel | 60c | 66.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 55c | 56.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 24c | 49.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lorena Schaedel | 60c | 48.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Lorena Schaedel | 27c | 41.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 45c | 40.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Lorena Schaedel | 51c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 49c | 38.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 61c | 24.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Lorena Schaedel | 72c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 53c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | 62c | 21.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Lorena Schaedel | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Chacabuco: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Lorena Schaedelthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Guidi vs SchaedelSchaedel won
- Set Handicap: Guidi (-1.5) vs Schaedel (+1.5)Schaedel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.