South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37b4cdab57f81e25f51b9281875a8365499637a162d1b5ab6a00cc32c1b3121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 61c | 2,459$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.24 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 78c | 1,887$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.21 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 36c | 973.78$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 701.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.09 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 656.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 621.79$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 1,502 | 45.9%690 W · 812 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked No | 77c | 539.83$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 40c | 456.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 18c | 407.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 366.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 318.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 828 | 34.5%286 W · 542 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 69c | 264.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 239.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 227.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 218.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 171.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 60c | 167.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 40c | 155.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…7e19backed Yes | 36c | 151.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 62c | 150.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 542 | 45.4%246 W · 296 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 17c | 147.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes | 35c | 139.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 65c | 132.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 128.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1,271 | 56%712 W · 559 L | +71.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…a831backed Yes | 34c | 111.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 35c | 107.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…2f7cbacked Yes | 29c | 99.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 21c | 88.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 78c | 85.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 76.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 39c | 72.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7afbbacked Yes | 42c | 71.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 59c | 62.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 197 | 49.7%98 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 61c | 48.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 36c | 45.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 679 | 48.2%327 W · 352 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 68c | 45.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 45.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…10adbacked Yes | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 38c | 42.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…b9e3backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 56c | 31.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 37c | 28.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Yes | 40c | 26.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 68c | 18.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.