Tennis · resolved market
ITF Porto: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Mae Malige
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa385d9f6187bf441cb88924f5bf8cc70a8ab0ec4cd05b1c1694a32b55b578385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carl Emil Overbeckof Carl Emil Overbeck, Mae Malige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 3,401$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.28 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Mae Malige | 44c | 1,102$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Mae Malige | 31c | 969.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mae Malige | 44c | 285.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Mae Malige | 44c | 279.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 237.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mae Malige | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Mae Malige | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mae Malige | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Mae Malige | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mae Malige | 41c | 109.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mae Malige | 39c | 96.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mae Malige | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mae Malige | 47c | 79.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 45c | 66.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Mae Malige | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Mae Malige | 49c | 54.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Mae Malige | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 63c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Mae Malige | 43c | 45.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 441 | 44.7%197 W · 244 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Mae Malige | 44c | 44.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Mae Malige | 41c | 43.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mae Malige | 53c | 38.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mae Malige | 50c | 38.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Mae Malige | 42c | 37.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mae Malige | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Mae Malige | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 54c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 48c | 21.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.