Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Julia Grabher vs Vivian Wolff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a2ee9ff988ea58df1b0417a5d6ba733b3f4c1e7dcb2146d29832751e7e420d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivian Wolffof Julia Grabher, Vivian Wolff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vivian Wolff | 12c | 8,631$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vivian Wolff | 58c | 4,896$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Julia Grabher | 43c | 2,969$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.03 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Vivian Wolff | 20c | 1,061$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.82 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Julia Grabher | 39c | 909.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.56 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Julia Grabher | 70c | 510.29$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vivian Wolff | 31c | 451.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Julia Grabher | 79c | 314$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Julia Grabher | 39c | 294.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Vivian Wolff | 11c | 265.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Julia Grabher | 36c | 247.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Julia Grabher | 35c | 213.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Julia Grabher | 39c | 202$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Julia Grabher | 75c | 193$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julia Grabher | 68c | 187$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vivian Wolff | 56c | 184.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Julia Grabher | 74c | 134.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vivian Wolff | 19c | 118.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Julia Grabher | 29c | 113.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vivian Wolff | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vivian Wolff | 18c | 109.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vivian Wolff | 19c | 108.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Vivian Wolff | 19c | 106.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Julia Grabher | 34c | 100.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vivian Wolff | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Vivian Wolff | 62c | 97.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Julia Grabher | 48c | 79.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Julia Grabher | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 70.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julia Grabher | 65c | 68.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Julia Grabher | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Grabher | 78c | 58.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Vivian Wolff | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Julia Grabher | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Julia Grabher | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Vivian Wolff | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Julia Grabher | 49c | 37.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Julia Grabher | 78c | 31.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vivian Wolff | 65c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Julia Grabher | 71c | 25.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…1557backed Julia Grabher | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Julia Grabher | 72c | 23.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Julia Grabher | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Julia Grabher | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Julia Grabher | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.