Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Ilyas Milad Fahim vs William Jansen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3aa7dbdf22036af4b9127f381445d0a9a0f5c30cfdf953b5e0967cd0269dd99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William Jansenof Ilyas Milad Fahim, William Jansen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked William Jansen | 33c | 2,727$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.09 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 34c | 2,010$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.62 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked William Jansen | 65c | 1,001$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 35c | 632.01$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed William Jansen | 46c | 623.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 7c | 300.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 34c | 258.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 38c | 175.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked William Jansen | 62c | 154.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked William Jansen | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 50c | 133.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 33c | 109.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed William Jansen | 65c | 95.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 35c | 80.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 32c | 70.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 42c | 60.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 67c | 56.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 52c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ilyas Milad Fahim | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked William Jansen | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ilyas Milad Fahim | 63c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.