CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3eacf2180f82338e52677551eb4c2f76fb3149c06a946add079d30b60a19e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BESTIA | 70c | 2,269$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.64 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed ShindeN | 36c | 1,475$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ShindeN | 3c | 1,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 28c | 579.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked ShindeN | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ShindeN | 38c | 474$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BESTIA | 57c | 388.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed BESTIA | 68c | 310.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked BESTIA | 67c | 222.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed BESTIA | 72c | 209.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed ShindeN | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ShindeN | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed BESTIA | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed ShindeN | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked ShindeN | 18c | 94.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked ShindeN | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed BESTIA | 62c | 53.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…5a9cbacked ShindeN | 41c | 48.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed ShindeN | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked BESTIA | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed ShindeN | 39c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed BESTIA | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.