South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a133d7aa003f2b8f62987a9b3efdacbe209d469b6ec88906528374024f3a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Paranaenseof SE Palmeiras, CA Paranaense
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed SE Palmeiras | 54c | 18,520$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.72 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Paranaense | 49c | 12,978$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CA Paranaense | 47c | 3,845$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.92 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Paranaense | 47c | 1,107$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.87 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed SE Palmeiras | 12c | 620$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed SE Palmeiras | 34c | 589.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked CA Paranaense | 48c | 424.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 355.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CA Paranaense | 55c | 353.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SE Palmeiras | 29c | 329.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed CA Paranaense | 67c | 295.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed CA Paranaense | 47c | 231.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed SE Palmeiras | 54c | 181.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed CA Paranaense | 46c | 180.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked CA Paranaense | 46c | 150.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Paranaense | 49c | 132.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed CA Paranaense | 48c | 130.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed SE Palmeiras | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed CA Paranaense | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CA Paranaense | 53c | 102.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SE Palmeiras | 26c | 102.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked CA Paranaense | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked CA Paranaense | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Paranaense | 64c | 94.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked CA Paranaense | 54c | 90.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8540backed SE Palmeiras | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CA Paranaense | 55c | 73.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed CA Paranaense | 46c | 68.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Paranaense | 61c | 61.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed SE Palmeiras | 20c | 59.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SE Palmeiras | 20c | 54.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SE Palmeiras | 44c | 47.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked SE Palmeiras | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked CA Paranaense | 46c | 46.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked CA Paranaense | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked SE Palmeiras | 29c | 44.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Paranaense | 49c | 43.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Paranaense | 66c | 42.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed SE Palmeiras | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…455fbacked SE Palmeiras | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked SE Palmeiras | 34c | 36.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed CA Paranaense | 66c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CA Paranaense | 66c | 32.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked CA Paranaense | 67c | 31.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed CA Paranaense | 52c | 30.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…5b55backed CA Paranaense | 47c | 30.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CA Paranaense | 66c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed CA Paranaense | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…d4b3backed SE Palmeiras | 54c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked CA Paranaense | 67c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.