Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa500c8fc24a158ee82b9b7b5714a5bb4622d5e2fbdf67929a40f9d412c86781f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,986 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1e…f049backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 1,872$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 1,302$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 820.46$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.73 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…831cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…d647backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 620.04$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…e496backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 473.69$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 394$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked South Florida Bulls | 53c | 357.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 347.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed South Florida Bulls | 64c | 323.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 46c | 322.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 288.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 257.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 238.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Charlotte 49ers | 54c | 201.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 37c | 134.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 55c | 73.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 57.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Charlotte 49ers | 43c | 42.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Charlotte 49ers | 44c | 40.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 39.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 45c | 39.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 30.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-14.5)this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 147.5Over won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5Under won
- Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-12.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-13.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-15.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-16.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-17.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.