Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50942f6499c16c2b31d75aa8399f77d59516aa68a1a626e3b63ba22421cb86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tsitsipasof Tsitsipas, Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Tsitsipas | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.97 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Damm | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Damm | 38c | 935$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Damm | 52c | 413.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Damm | 55c | 402.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 381.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Damm | 52c | 202.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Damm | 61c | 183.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 180.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Damm | 52c | 178$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Damm | 52c | 150.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Damm | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 92.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Damm | 63c | 85.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tsitsipas | 39c | 70.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Damm | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 47.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Damm | 52c | 44.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Damm | 52c | 36.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Damm | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)this page
- Damm vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Damm vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas won
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
- Set 2 Winner: Damm vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Damm (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.