Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52f9fe9f165837d0782a870cfcde8e6d70ce2f482c9a225bdf02db89f480f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Martineauof Matteo Martineau, Mickael Kaouk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mickael Kaouk | 24c | 11,652$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Matteo Martineau | 63c | 4,593$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.41 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Martineau | 78c | 4,243$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 3,971$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.61 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Mickael Kaouk | 14c | 3,023$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mickael Kaouk | 27c | 2,653$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mickael Kaouk | 40c | 2,515$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 2,079$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.74 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Matteo Martineau | 70c | 2,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mickael Kaouk | 18c | 1,563$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mickael Kaouk | 14c | 1,169$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Matteo Martineau | 55c | 1,063$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mickael Kaouk | 12c | 1,029$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mickael Kaouk | 27c | 707.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 595.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mickael Kaouk | 9c | 568$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Mickael Kaouk | 33c | 511.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mickael Kaouk | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Mickael Kaouk | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mickael Kaouk | 28c | 459.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Mickael Kaouk | 22c | 457.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mickael Kaouk | 14c | 380.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mickael Kaouk | 19c | 319.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed Matteo Martineau | 70c | 190.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Mickael Kaouk | 14c | 187.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Mickael Kaouk | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Matteo Martineau | 64c | 131.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Mickael Kaouk | 17c | 115.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Mickael Kaouk | 14c | 114.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Matteo Martineau | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 102.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matteo Martineau | 69c | 101.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Mickael Kaouk | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 87.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Mickael Kaouk | 16c | 86.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mickael Kaouk | 48c | 83.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Matteo Martineau | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mickael Kaouk | 51c | 73.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matteo Martineau | 71c | 69.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matteo Martineau | 51c | 68.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 56.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Matteo Martineau | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Matteo Martineau | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Matteo Martineau | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Mickael Kaouk | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 37.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matteo Martineau | 65c | 36.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Matteo Martineau | 68c | 33.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Mickael Kaouk | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Matteo Martineau | 73c | 28.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Matteo Martineau | 75c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Matteo Martineau | 48c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Matteo Martineau | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Matteo Martineau | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Mickael Kaouk | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Matteo Martineau | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Matteo Martineau | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.