Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa547fb21c35de594f7b76c24d7af8ad05c3dc25eef95f404a14ec6e29088e77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Over | 33c | 2,572$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.77 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Under | 67c | 2,071$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -91%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 64c | 630.69$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.49 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 618.24$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 37c | 541.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 56c | 505$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 45c | 453.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…263ebacked Over | 37c | 439.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 427.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 374.69$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Under | 55c | 295.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 34c | 229.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 58c | 178.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 32c | 95.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Over | 37c | 78.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…59e4backed Over | 36c | 72.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.4wins | -0.54per pick | 62cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Over | 38c | 69.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 42c | 36.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 46c | 31.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…1c8abacked Over | 37c | 28.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.