CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: bond1e vs m1x (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa556084a15a0c667e313afec8fb197bdd084e10d6f9b7628774baf8584ece1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- bond1eof bond1e, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked m1x | 55c | 2,602$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.22 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked m1x | 57c | 2,010$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.32 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked bond1e | 47c | 1,816$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed m1x | 54c | 1,210$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.38 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked bond1e | 44c | 937.27$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked bond1e | 45c | 820.34$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed bond1e | 46c | 483.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed bond1e | 45c | 377.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed m1x | 66c | 339.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed bond1e | 78c | 304.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked bond1e | 44c | 258.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed bond1e | 35c | 252.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed m1x | 48c | 236.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed m1x | 56c | 233.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed m1x | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed m1x | 69c | 220.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed bond1e | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed bond1e | 49c | 190.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed bond1e | 43c | 190.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed bond1e | 75c | 180.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed bond1e | 30c | 176.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed m1x | 14c | 168.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked bond1e | 45c | 147.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked bond1e | 31c | 129.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed m1x | 40c | 125.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed bond1e | 34c | 124.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked bond1e | 45c | 118.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed bond1e | 42c | 109.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked bond1e | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked bond1e | 29c | 103.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed m1x | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked m1x | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked bond1e | 42c | 99.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed bond1e | 67c | 98.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked bond1e | 44c | 85.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked m1x | 51c | 78.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed bond1e | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…22d5backed bond1e | 45c | 70.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked bond1e | 25c | 62.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked bond1e | 41c | 62.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed m1x | 55c | 55.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…6a9bbacked m1x | 59c | 54.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed m1x | 62c | 54.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed bond1e | 31c | 46.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked bond1e | 46c | 42.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed bond1e | 44c | 39.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed bond1e | 47c | 38.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed m1x | 56c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed m1x | 71c | 33.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked m1x | 58c | 29.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed bond1e | 74c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked m1x | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed m1x | 76c | 17.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.