Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Alina Granwehr vs Aurora Zantedeschi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa598d32351cdded3c502139f6b0519d96dc050bbe714bec423a48b2e15313721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Granwehrof Alina Granwehr, Aurora Zantedeschi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 9c | 3,253$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Granwehr | 54c | 2,899$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 48c | 468.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alina Granwehr | 42c | 324.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alina Granwehr | 48c | 312.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 48c | 260.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 9c | 238.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 52c | 223.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 52c | 202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 58c | 172$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 7c | 158.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…641ebacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 49c | 28.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Alina Granwehr vs Aurora Zantedeschithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Granwehr vs ZantedeschiGranwehr won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.