South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d4ee253128857c2c3c54941ef4e0645d0d700b451f4916de3205b158cf7b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 19c | 11,445$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 22c | 9,216$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 18c | 4,017$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.7 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 78c | 2,814$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 79c | 2,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.68 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 1,550$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 19c | 1,529$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.03 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 14c | 950$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 18c | 884.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 1c | 836.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 19c | 772$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 19c | 713$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 20c | 693.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 78c | 410.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 22c | 301.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 266.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 79c | 263.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 9c | 189.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 10c | 188.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 13c | 183.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 17c | 181.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 16c | 130.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…80bfbacked No | 17c | 114.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 19c | 102.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Yes | 80c | 92.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 25c | 76.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 21c | 70.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 79c | 63.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 75c | 60.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 19c | 53.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 80c | 23.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 75c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 75c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.