Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Philip Sekulic vs Marco Trungelliti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ebabb6cc1737b03e262bebd8935e8259eb74e8105b48c8b7713aa6ebc09ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trungellitiof Sekulic, Trungelliti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sekulic | 1c | 3,681$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Trungelliti | 59c | 1,505$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trungelliti | 66c | 1,119$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.22 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Trungelliti | 58c | 1,043$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.71 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sekulic | 40c | 810.16$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sekulic | 33c | 522.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sekulic | 34c | 425.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sekulic | 41c | 403.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trungelliti | 45c | 329.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed Sekulic | 26c | 263.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…e3abbacked Sekulic | 47c | 231.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trungelliti | 78c | 217.01$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trungelliti | 76c | 115.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Trungelliti | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Sekulic | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Trungelliti | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Trungelliti | 64c | 82.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trungelliti | 63c | 82.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Trungelliti | 61c | 82.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Trungelliti | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Trungelliti | 61c | 65.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…0b18backed Sekulic | 36c | 47.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sekulic | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sekulic | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trungelliti | 44c | 27.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Trungelliti | 51c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Trungelliti | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.