Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62cdcb12054a60b4af3f4a98f140ce6681e89040c161abf56a477cd85cbee5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof Evil Geniuses Academy, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 614$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 15c | 402.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Division One | 69c | 396$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 157$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 11c | 147.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 12c | 104.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 15c | 91.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 70c | 85.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 16c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 60c | 73.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Division One | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Division One | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: EG.A (-1.5) vs Division One (+1.5)Division One won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsDivision One won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.