CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63b663a72488c57078e521952f5f9d112b7d671f0a42b0286ca5dca39d48859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 9,032$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.92 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed K27 | 78c | 1,546$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,478$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.09 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 833$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 400.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed K27 | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked K27 | 76c | 368.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed K27 | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed K27 | 76c | 183$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 329 | 49.2%162 W · 167 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 181.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 137.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 121.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 77c | 115.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 107.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 91.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…a4f2backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 71.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed K27 | 78c | 46.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked K27 | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed K27 | 76c | 25.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed K27 | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed K27 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 336 | 69.6%234 W · 102 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659b…679abacked K27 | 80c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.