Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa668d08d5d6cff047430b781e657ad5540dc2cd85fd0a0f7321337b5362cab24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 53,148$27,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,536.69 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 15,449$7,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,906$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 4,500$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 560.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 48c | 76.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 48c | 34.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Over | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-3.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton BluejaysVillanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 144.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 145.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.