Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Aishi Das
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7178f532f5a2d8dec74fbb7cf301fda03c26a27f01834e7b61583092388f810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ayumi Miyamotoof Ayumi Miyamoto, Aishi Das
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 75c | 2,910$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aishi Das | 1c | 1,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aishi Das | 20c | 803.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aishi Das | 20c | 755.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aishi Das | 21c | 556.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aishi Das | 19c | 523.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 77c | 512.53$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Aishi Das | 48c | 508.57$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aishi Das | 17c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aishi Das | 24c | 210.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aishi Das | 42c | 190.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aishi Das | 9c | 189.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aishi Das | 22c | 152.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aishi Das | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aishi Das | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Aishi Das | 16c | 78.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.