Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Diletta Cherubini vs Alice Rame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74ef35e59d8f7441b67335e075ed83bf85e8aac7a8c26523e9764266421405a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diletta Cherubiniof Diletta Cherubini, Alice Rame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alice Rame | 12c | 3,310$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Diletta Cherubini | 41c | 1,006$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alice Rame | 59c | 932.81$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alice Rame | 60c | 909.53$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.66 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Diletta Cherubini | 40c | 743.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Alice Rame | 65c | 292.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Alice Rame | 65c | 260.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Diletta Cherubini | 37c | 214.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Diletta Cherubini | 35c | 192.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alice Rame | 50c | 147.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Diletta Cherubini | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Diletta Cherubini | 51c | 96.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alice Rame | 22c | 72.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Diletta Cherubini | 39c | 71.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Diletta Cherubini | 35c | 71.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Diletta Cherubini | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Alice Rame | 50c | 60.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Diletta Cherubini | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Diletta Cherubini | 37c | 57.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…55ccbacked Alice Rame | 18c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Diletta Cherubini | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Alice Rame | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Diletta Cherubini | 35c | 47.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Diletta Cherubini | 40c | 39.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Diletta Cherubini | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Alice Rame | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…e3a1backed Alice Rame | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Diletta Cherubini | 58c | 29.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.