Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76d4b88b290298a6a18da0bbdd3634dd24f82b0d415aa2c9170735513e64081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Dimitar Kuzmanov, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 21c | 28,490$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.97 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 10,378$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.18 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Otto Virtanen | 76c | 6,620$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.56 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 37c | 2,678$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.76 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 1,884$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.91 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 17c | 1,643$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 32c | 1,130$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.71 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.77 | 174 | 23.6%41 W · 133 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 18c | 808.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…c936backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 758.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 627.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 568.87$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Otto Virtanen | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Otto Virtanen | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Otto Virtanen | 69c | 352.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 35c | 279.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 272$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 13c | 264.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 254.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 6c | 241.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 221.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 13c | 199.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…147fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 7c | 190$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 18c | 154.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 130.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 118.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 29c | 114.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 16c | 110.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Otto Virtanen | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 62.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 58.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 22c | 53.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 45.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 43.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…722ebacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 37.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Otto Virtanen | 64c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 273 | 31.5%86 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Otto Virtanen | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 68cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Kuzmanov vs. Virtanen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.