Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Mili Poljicak vs Sebastian Dominko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77e4d5981a0bb5ad30c873e3dabf7737daf9427e78ef2986fb2ad7968a35166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Dominkoof Mili Poljicak, Sebastian Dominko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mili Poljicak | 48c | 5,372$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Dominko | 45c | 1,776$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Mili Poljicak | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.51 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sebastian Dominko | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Sebastian Dominko | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Dominko | 73c | 635.08$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sebastian Dominko | 71c | 545.76$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Dominko | 39c | 514.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Mili Poljicak | 46c | 428.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Sebastian Dominko | 59c | 421.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Dominko | 43c | 420.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 351.65$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Dominko | 26c | 265.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ee…7d59backed Mili Poljicak | 62c | 215.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sebastian Dominko | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Mili Poljicak | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sebastian Dominko | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sebastian Dominko | 41c | 172.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Dominko | 47c | 168.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…db60backed Mili Poljicak | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Dominko | 43c | 125.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Sebastian Dominko | 28c | 108.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Sebastian Dominko | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Mili Poljicak | 59c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Mili Poljicak | 16c | 77.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Mili Poljicak | 48c | 76.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Sebastian Dominko | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sebastian Dominko | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sebastian Dominko | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Sebastian Dominko | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Mili Poljicak | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sebastian Dominko | 76c | 67.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Sebastian Dominko | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Dominko | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Sebastian Dominko | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Mili Poljicak | 49c | 48.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mili Poljicak | 75c | 45.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Sebastian Dominko | 68c | 29.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Sebastian Dominko | 76c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Sebastian Dominko | 45c | 25.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mili Poljicak | 77c | 24.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mili Poljicak | 73c | 21.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sebastian Dominko | 61c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Mili Poljicak | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.