Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7db7cd61ef7e2a1d649edc8ff101751bed39663eb218514467711b4dd3cc60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof Illinois Fighting Illini, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 9,383$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.94 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 47c | 8,373$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 3,000$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 1,781$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.74 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.32 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 550.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins | 47c | 507.7$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 490.03$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 446.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked UCLA Bruins | 51c | 305.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 256.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 207.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 199.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 179.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 169.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…d117backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 164.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 155.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed UCLA Bruins | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked UCLA Bruins | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 141.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 48c | 140.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 111.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 104.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 100.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 99.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 94.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 79.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 74.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 71.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 64.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 53.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 44.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 39.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UCLA Bruins | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked UCLA Bruins | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-5.5)UCLA Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.